CO2 Emissions Estimate From Mexico City Using Ground‐ and Space‐Based Remote Sensing
Résumé
The Mexico City Metropolitan Area (MCMA) stands as one of the most densely populated urban regions globally. To quantify the urban CO 2 emissions in the MCMA, we independently assimilated observations from a dense column-integrated Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) network and OCO-3 Snapshot Area Map observations between October 2020 and May 2021. Applying a computationally efficient analytical Bayesian inversion technique, we inverted for surface fluxes at high spatio-temporal resolutions (1-km and 1hr). The fossil fuel (FF) emission estimates of 5.08 and 6.77 GgCO 2 /hr reported by the global and local emission inventories were optimized to 4.85 and 5.51 GgCO 2 /hr based on FTIR observations over this 7 month period, highlighting a convergence of posterior estimates. The modeled biogenic flux estimate of 0.14 GgCO 2 /hr was improved to 0.33 to 0.27 GgCO 2 /hr, respectively. It is worth noting that utilizing observations from three primary sites significantly enhanced the accuracy of estimates (13.6 ∼29.2%) around the other four. Using FTIR posterior estimates can improve simulation with the OCO-3 data set. OCO-3 shows a similar decreasing trend in FF emissions (from 6.37 GgCO 2 /hr to 6.36 and 5.04 GgCO 2 /hr) as FTIR, but its correction trends for biogenic sources differ, changing from 0.37 to 0.48 GgCO 2 /hr. The primary reason is OCO-3's lower temporal sampling density. Aligning the FTIR inversion timing with that of OCO-3 yielded comparable corrections for FF emissions, yet discrepancies in biogenic emissions persisted, which can be attributed to their different sampling locations in the rural region and discrepancy in XCO 2 observations. Our findings mark a significant step toward validating OCO-3 and FTIR inversion results in metropolitan region.
Plain Language Summary Urban areas are significant hotspots for CO 2 emissions due to their high energy consumption, prompting a strong push toward ambitious greenhouse gas reduction initiatives. Our study harnessed data from the OCO-3 satellite and an extensive ground-based sensor network to map CO 2 concentrations on an intra-city scale, aiming to update outdated emission inventories. We delved into the effects of observed CO 2 gradient differences on the optimization results, leveraging these two distinct data sources. Although both OCO-3 satellite and ground-based observations offer detailed insights into Mexico City's urban region, they reveal discrepancies in the sampling of rural area data. The local FF inventory, when constrained by ground-based observations, indicates an 18.73% overestimation, whereas the OCO-3 data set points to only a 6.44% overestimation. Our findings highlight that utilizing ground-based observations exclusively during OCO-3 overpass times aligns the correction from ground-based data (6.41% overestimation) with that derived from the OCO-3 data. However, biogenic emissions optimization differs significantly, primarily due to OCO-3's limited rural observations, the rural sampling locations, and the discrepancies in observed XCO 2 values in these data sets.
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